Marin County Real Estate Blog

Real Estate News – The Truth Many Headlines Overlook

Don't Believe Everything
You Read: The Truth Many Headlines Overlook | MyKCM

There are a lot of questions right now regarding the real estate market as we head into 2022. The forbearance program is coming to an end and mortgage rates are beginning to rise.

With all of this uncertainty, anyone with a megaphone – from the mainstream media to a lone blogger – has realized that bad news sells. Unfortunately, we'll continue to see a rash of troublesome headlines over the next few months. To make sure you aren't paralyzed by a headline, turn to reliable resources for a look at what to expect from the housing market next year.

There are already alarmist headlines starting to appear. Here are two recent topics you may have seen in the news.

1. Foreclosures Are Spiking Today

There are a number of headlines circulating that call out the rising foreclosures in today's real estate market. Those stories focus on an overly narrow view on that topic: the current volume of foreclosures compared to 2020. They emphasize that we're seeing far more foreclosures this year compared to last.

That seems rather daunting. However, though it's true foreclosures have been up over the 2020 numbers, it's important to realize that there were virtually no foreclosures last year because of the forbearance plan. If we compare this September to September of 2019 (the last normal year), foreclosures were down 70% according...

Sellers: You'll Likely Get Multiple Strong Offers This Season

Sellers: You'll Likely Get
Multiple Strong Offers This Season | MyKCM

Are you thinking about selling your house right now, but you're not sure you'll have the time to do so as the holidays draw near? If so, consider this: even as the holiday season approaches, there are plenty of buyers out there, and they really want your house. Here's why selling this winter is a win for you.

Today's buyers are still dealing with a limited number of homes for sale. Thanks to continued low inventory, those buyers are competing with one another for their dream home. And when that happens, if your house is one of the few on the market, it will rise to the top of the pool – and it will be worth it.

According to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the average seller received 3.7 offers on their house in September. For a view into what's happening at the state level, take a look at the map below:...

Two Graphs That Show Why You Shouldn't Be Upset About 3% Mortgage Rates

Two Graphs That Show Why You
Shouldn't Be Upset About 3% Mortgage Rates | MyKCM

With the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate from Freddie Mac climbing above 3%, rising rates are one of the topics dominating the discussion in the housing market today. And since experts project rates will rise further in the coming months, that conversation isn't going away any time soon.

But as a homebuyer, what do rates above 3% really mean?

Today's Average Mortgage Rate Still Presents Buyers with a Great Opportunity

Buyers don't want mortgage rates to rise, as any upward movement increases your monthly mortgage payment. But it's important to put today's average mortgage rate into perspective. The graph below shows today's rate in comparison to average rates over the last five years:Two
Graphs That Show Why You Shouldn't Be Upset About 3% Mortgage Rates | MyKCM...

Experts Project Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022

Experts Project Mortgage
Rates Will Continue To Rise in 2022 | MyKCM

Mortgage rates are one of several factors that impact how much you can afford if you're buying a home. When rates are low, they help you get more house for your money. Within the last year, mortgage rates have hit the lowest point ever recorded, and they've hovered in the historic-low territory. But even over the past few weeks, rates have started to rise. This past week, the average 30-year fixed rate was 3.14%.

What does this mean if you're thinking about making a move? Waiting until next year will cost you more in the long run. Here's a look at what several experts project for mortgage rates going into 2022.

Freddie Mac:

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) is expected to be 3.0 percent in 2021 and 3.5 percent in 2022.

Doug Duncan, Senior VP & Chief Economist, ...

Housing Challenge or Housing Opportunity? It Depends.

Housing Challenge or Housing
Opportunity? It Depends. | MyKCM

The biggest challenge in real estate today is the lack of available homes for sale. The low housing supply has caused homes throughout the country to appreciate at a much faster rate than what we've experienced historically.

There are many reasons for the limited number of homes on the market, but as you can see in the graph below, we're well below where we've been for most of the past 10 years. Today, across the country, there is only a 2.4-month supply of homes available for sale.Housing Challenge or Housing Opportunity? It Depends. | MyKCM

The Opportunity

This lack of homes for sale is creating a challenge for many buyers who are growing frustrated in their search. On the other hand, this is a huge opportunity for sellers as low supply is driving up home values. According to CoreLogic, the average home has appreciated by more than $50,000 over the ...

Your Home Equity Is Growing [INFOGRAPHIC]

Your Home Equity Is Growing
[INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights

  • If you're a homeowner, today's rising equity is great news. On average, homeowners have gained $51,500 in equity since this time last year.
  • Whether it's funding an education, fueling your next move, or starting a business, your home equity is a great tool you can use to power your dreams.
  • Ready to sell? Let's connect to talk about how you can take advantage of your rising equity to reach your goals.

Contact the Marin Modern Team, your Marin County real estate connection, for assistance buying or selling a home in Marin County California.

...

What Does the Future Hold for Home Prices?

What Does the Future Hold for
Home Prices? | MyKCM

If you're looking to buy or sell a house, chances are you've heard talk about today's rising home prices. And while this increase in home values is great news for sellers, you may be wondering what the future holds. Will prices continue to rise with time, or should you expect them to fall?

To answer that question, let's first understand a few terms you may be hearing right now.

It's important to note home prices have increased, or appreciated, for 114 straight months. To find out if that trend may continue, look to the experts....

The Truth About Today's Buyer Demand

The Truth About Today's Buyer
Demand | MyKCM

When it comes to the latest news in real estate, there are a lot of sensational headlines in the media. In times like this, when it can be hard to know what to believe, put your trust in the experts. Those of us in the housing market respect that buying or selling a home is a major life decision, and we offer advice based on what the data shows.

Despite what you may have read, the housing market is still undeniably strong. Here's a look at what leading experts have to say about buyer demand today and how it continues to shape the industry:

Michael Lane, President at ShowingTime:

In general, there are definite signs...

Reasons You Should Consider Selling This Fall

Reasons You Should Consider
Selling This Fall | MyKCM

If you’re trying to decide when to sell your house, there may not be a better time to list than right now. The ultimate sellers’ market we’re in today won’t last forever. If you're thinking of making a move, here are four reasons to put your house up for sale sooner rather than later.

1. Your House Will Likely Sell Quickly

According to the Realtors Confidence Index released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), homes continue to sell quickly – on average, they’re selling in just 17 days. As a seller, that’s great news for you.

Average days on market is a strong indicator of buyer demand. And if homes are selling quickly, buyers have to be more decisive and act fast to submit their offer before other buyers swoop in.

2. Buyers Are Willing To Compete for Your House

In addition to selling quickly, homes are receiving multiple offers. That same survey shows sellers are seeing an average of 4.5 offers, and they're...

What You Can Do Right Now To Prepare for Homeownership

What You Can Do Right Now To
Prepare for Homeownership | MyKCM

As rent prices continue to soar, many renters want to know what they can do to get ready to buy their first home. According to recent data from ApartmentList.com:

The first half of 2021 has seen the fastest growth in rent prices since the start of our estimates in 2017. Our national rent index has increased by 11.4 percent since January . . . .

Those rising rental costs may make it seem impossible to prepare for homeownership if you're a renter. But the truth is, there are ways you can – and should – prepare to purchase your first home. Here's some expert advice on what to do if you're ready to learn more about how to escape rising rents.

Start Saving – Even Small Amounts – Now

Experts agree, setting aside what you can – even smaller amounts of money – into a dedicated savings account is a great starting point when it comes to saving for a ...

What Do Experts Say About Today's Mortgage Rates?

What Do Experts Say About
Today's Mortgage Rates? | MyKCM

Mortgage rates are hovering near record lows, and that's good news for today's homebuyers. The graph below shows mortgage rates dating back to 2016 and where today falls by comparison.What
Do Experts Say About Today's Mortgage Rates? | MyKCMGenerally speaking, when rates are low, you can afford more home for your money. That's why experts across the industry agree – today's low rates present buyers with an incredible opportunity. Here's what they have to say:

Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, points out the historic nature of today's rates:

As the economy works to get back to its pre-pandemic self, and the fight against COVID-19 variants unfolds, owners and buyers continue to benefit from some of the lowest mortgage rates of all-time.

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, ...

Waiting To Buy a Home Could Cost You [INFOGRAPHIC]

Waiting To Buy a Home Could
Cost You [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights

  • If you're thinking of buying a home but wondering if waiting a few years will save you in the long run, think again.
  • The longer the wait, the more you'll pay, especially when mortgage rates and home prices rise. Even the slightest change in the mortgage rate can have a big impact on your buying power no matter your price point.
  • Don't assume waiting will save you money. Let's connect to set the ball into motion today while mortgage rates are hovering near historic lows.

Looking for experienced real estate representation in the Bay Area? Let the Bay Area Modern Team help you with your Marin real estate and ...

Remote Work Has Changed Our Home Needs. Is It Time for Your Home To Change, Too?

Remote Work Has Changed Our
Home Needs. Is It Time for Your Home To Change, Too? | MyKCM

Over the past year, many homeowners realized what they need in a home is changing, especially with the rise in remote work. If you're longing for a dedicated home office or a change in scenery, now may be the time to find the home that addresses your evolving needs.

Working from Home Isn't a Passing Fad

Before the pandemic, only 21% of individuals worked from home. However, if you've recently discovered remote work is your new normal, you're not alone.

A survey of hiring managers conducted by Statista and Upwork projects 37.5% of U.S. workers will work remotely in some capacity over the next 5 years (see chart below):Remote Work Has Changed Our Home Needs. Is It Time for Your Home To
Change, Too? | MyKCM

Working from Home Gives You More Flexibility and More Options...

The Truths Young Homebuyers Need To Hear

The Truths Young Homebuyers
Need To Hear | MyKCM

For many young or first-time homebuyers, purchasing a home can feel intimidating. A recent survey shows some homebuyers ages 25 to 40 may be unsure about the homebuying process and what they can afford. It found:

  • 1 in 4 underestimated their buying potential by $150k or more
  • 1 in 4 underestimated the increase in value by $100k or more
  • 47% don't know what a good interest rate is

Because they feel uncertain, many young homebuyers have given up on their search, or worse, they've decided homebuying isn't for them and never started on their journey to begin with.

If you're interested in buying but aren't sure where to begin, here are three key concepts about homeownership you should understand before you get started.

1. What You Need To Know About Down Payments

Saving for a down payment is sometimes viewed as one of the biggest obstacles for homebuyers, but that doesn't have to be the case. As Freddie Mac says:

...

Are We in a Housing Bubble? Experts Say No.

Are We in a Housing Bubble?
Experts Say No. | MyKCM

The question of whether the real estate market is a bubble ready to pop seems to be dominating a lot of conversations – and everyone has an opinion. Yet, when it comes down to it, the opinions that carry the most weight are the ones based on experience and expertise.

Here are four expert opinions from professionals and organizations that have devoted their careers to giving great advice to the housing industry.

The Joint Center for Housing Studies in their The State of the Nation's Housing 2021 report:

… conditions today are quite different than in the early 2000s, particularly in terms of credit availability. The current climb in house prices instead reflects strong demand amid tight supply, helped along by record-low interest rates.

Nathaniel Karp, Chief U.S. Economist at BBVA:

The housing market is in line with fundamentals as interest rates are attractive and incomes are high due to fiscal stimulus, making debt servicing relatively affordable and allowing buyers to qualify for larger mortgages. Underwriting standards are still strong, so there is little risk of a bubble developing.

...

What Do Experts See on the Horizon for the Second Half of the Year?

What Do Experts See on the
Horizon for the Second Half of the Year? | MyKCM

As we move into the latter half of the year, questions about what's to come are top of mind for buyers and sellers. Near record-low mortgage rates coupled with rising home price appreciation kicked off a robust housing market in the first half of 2021, but what does the forecast tell us about what's on the horizon?

Mortgage Rates Will Likely Increase, but Remain Low

Many experts are projecting a rise in interest rates. The latest Quarterly Forecast from Freddie Mac states:

We forecast that mortgage rates will continue to rise through the end of next year. We estimate the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will average 3.4% in the fourth quarter of 2021, rising to 3.8% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

However, even as mortgage rates rise, the anticipated increase is expected to be modest at most, and still well below historical averages. Rates remaining low is good news for homebuyers who are looking to maximize their purchasing power. The same report from Freddie Mac...

Homebuyers: Hang in There [INFOGRAPHIC]

Homebuyers: Hang in There [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights

Contact the Marin Modern Team, your Marin County real estate connection, for assistance buying or selling a home in Marin County California.

...

Pre-Approval Makes All the Difference When Buying a Home

Pre-Approval Makes All the
Difference When Buying a Home | MyKCM

You may have been told that it's important to get pre-approved at the beginning of the homebuying process, but what does that really mean, and why is it so important? Especially in today's market, with rising home prices and high buyer competition, it's crucial to have a clear understanding of your budget so you stand out to sellers as a serious homebuyer.

Being intentional and competitive are musts when buying a home right now. Pre-approval from a lender is the only way to know your true price range and how much money you can borrow for your loan. Just as important, being able to present a pre-approval letter shows sellers you're a qualified buyer, something that can really help you land your dream home in an ultra-competitive market.

With limited housing inventory, there are many more buyers active in the market than there are sellers, and that's creating some serious competition. According to the ...

Hope Is on the Horizon for Today's Housing Shortage

Hope Is on the Horizon for
Today's Housing Shortage | MyKCM

The major challenge in today's housing market is that there are more buyers looking to purchase than there are homes available to buy. Simply put, supply can't keep up with demand. A normal market has a 6-month supply of homes for sale. Anything over that indicates it's a buyers' market, but an inventory level below that threshold means we're in a sellers' market. Today's inventory level sits far below the norm.

According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR):

Total housing inventory at the end of April amounted to 1.16 million units, up 10.5% from March’s inventory and down 20.5% from one year ago (1.46 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.4-month supply at the current sales pace, slightly up from March’s 2.1-month supply and down from the 4.0-month supply recorded in April 2020. These numbers continue to represent near-record lows.

Basically, while we are seeing some improvement, we're still at near-record lows for housing inventory (as shown in the graph below). Here's why. Since the pandemic began, sellers have been cautious when it comes to putting their homes on the market. At the same time that fewer people are listing their homes, more and more people are trying to buy them thanks to today's low...

Have Your Day in the Sun by Moving Up This Summer [INFOGRAPHIC]

Have Your Day in the Sun by
Moving Up This Summer [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights

  • Longer days and sunny weather mean summer is upon us, and what better conditions than right now to upgrade to the home of your dreams?
  • If your needs have changed, it's a great time to upgrade – there's likely high demand for your current house, and today's low mortgage rates can help you afford your dream home.
  • If you're ready to upgrade to a home that matches your changing needs, let's connect today.

Contact Marin Modern Real Estate, experienced Marin County Realtors, for help purchasing or selling a home in Marin County.

...
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